June 10th, 2009 Posted in Business Insurance, Health Insurance, National Healthcare, politics | No Comments »
Unless your name is Chuck Nolan you’ve heard that our government is working to fundamentally change our healthcare system. For the past 40 years there has been a steady march towards nationalized healthcare. We are now closer than ever to that end.
38 trillion reasons to nationalize healthcare
In 1965, Medicare was signed into law by President Johnson. Medicare is the government-run, single-payer health plan which covers the country’s elderly population.
People think that their Medicare payroll taxes are held in some "lockbox" and invested until it is time to retire and collect benefits. Sadly, Medicare is run as a "pay-as-you-go" system. The taxes taken from your paycheck today are spent on a retiree’s healthcare costs tomorrow.
Because there are fewer and fewer workers to support an increase number of retirees Medicare is approaching insolvency. It would reportedly take $38 trillion to fully fund Medicare. Is that likely with the US GDP at $13.8 trillion?
So, if you are the Federal government, and your Bernie Madoff moment is less than 8 years away what do you do?
Nationalize Healthcare
Make no mistake, Medicare for All – a single-payer system – is their stated goal. Your ability to obtain affordable, quality healthcare will be dependent on the government.
Former White House economic adviser Keith Hennessey has summarized the competing House versions here. The Wall Street Journal reports that Obama wants to raise $634 billion in new taxes to pay for the expansion. Here are some highlights of what we might expect:
- A government mandate that employers provide and contribute towards their employees’ health insurance or be subject to a tax penalty. Think of your neighborhood restaurant. To cover the extra cost for health insurance they will charge more for your meal. Could you consider this new cost a tax increase? How many people will be laid off because of this mandate?
- Tax employer-sponsored health insurance. Currently the value of health insurance is not taxable to either employees or employers. This benefit may be eliminated or reduced.
- Increase sin taxes – new taxes on sugary drinks, tobacco and alcohol products.
- Higher premiums for Medicare recipients.
- Reduced payments to medical providers. If doctors and hospitals receive less payment will patients receive less care? Will there be less incentive for experienced doctors to remain in practice? Will the innovation of life saving techniques and products suffer because of a diminished profit potential?
- Reduced tax advantages for health savings accounts, flexible spending accounts and itemized medical deductions.
- A government mandate that each individual have insurance – or be subject to a tax penalty. Note that the LA Times reports the insurance industry is receptive to this mandate.
- Add a health insurance "exchange" where people can compare and purchase a new government sponsored "public plan" alongside products from private insurers. This public plan is a major bone of contention between Democrats and Republicans. It is described as the proverbial camel’s nose that could lead to a single-payer system in the US. I wrote about Georgia’s brief consideration of an exchange here.
- Guarantee issue and guarantee renewability of insurance policies.
- No exclusion for pre-existing conditions.
- A prohibition of insurers from charging higher premiums based on health status. This seems ideal, but understand then that healthy people will significantly subsidize the premiums of the unhealthy.
Could the medicine be worse than the disease?
An Alternative
So our politicians have gotten underwater to the tune of $38 trillion. The government currently covers about 92 million Americans through Medicare, Medicaid and Tricare. Should they be trusted to provide quality coverage for the other 208 million?
If you were to get yourself in deep debt, what options would you have but to reduce costs and live within your means. Maybe our Federal government should take steps to reduce its own footprint and properly fund its obligations (Medicare, in this case).
Conclusion
If you are so inspired, contact your senators and congressman and let them know what you think. Opposing the "public plan" option, in my mind, is our best bet in maintaining competition and quality of care in our healthcare system.